Friday 1 March 2013

ECONOMY- BUDGET ANALYSIS

Sectoral Budget Impact
Sector
Proposal
Impact
Power
  • Proposal of zero customs duty for electrical plants and machinery
  • To equalise duties on steam and bituminous coal to 2 pct customs duty and 2 pct cvd (countervailing duty)
  • To reintroduce generation based incentive for wind power projects. Rs 800 crore provided for the purpose to Ministry of New & Renewable Energy.
  • 80 IA benefit for power plants extended.
  • Nonconventional source of power like wind based power generation to get a boost.
  • Continuation of deduction u/s 80IA likely to help the sector.
Banking
  • Public Sector Banks to get Rs 14000 crore capital support in FY14 and Rs 12517, crore in FY2012-13.
  • All Women's Bank to be set up via public sector with an initial capital of Rs 1000 crore.
  •  4% farm loan scheme extended to private sector banks.
  • Capital infusion to help maintain bank's minimum tier - I capital of 8% under Basel III. In turn, lenders can expand their loans maintaining the growth in the balance sheet.
  • This move is expected to empower women and is seen as as a move to foster entrepreneurship among women.
Capital  and Debt market
  • Plans to issue inflation-indexed bonds.
  • Capital allowance of 15% to companies on investments of more than Rs 1 bln.
  • Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) can use investments in corporate, government bonds as collateral to meet margin requirements.
  • Insurance, provident funds can trade directly in debt segments of stock exchanges
  • FIIs can hedge forex exposure through exchange-traded derivatives.
  • Investor with less than 10 pct stake in a company will be regarded as FII, more than 10 pct stake as FDI (foreign direct investment)
  • The stock exchange regulator will simplify know-your-customer norms for foreign portfolio investors.
  • To implement quickly recommendations of financial sector legislative reforms commission
  • STT on equity futures from 0.017% to 0.01%. STT on mutual fund redemption of Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) scheme has been reduced to Re 1 from Rs 250 per lakh, and on mutual fund non-redemption of ETF scheme the STT has reduced to Re 1 from Rs 100 per lakh.
  • CTT of Rs 10 per lakh has been introduced in the Budget for FY 2014 on non-agri commodities.
  • Can give  a boost to FII investments, simplification of KYC a big positive.
  • STT reduction will increase volumes in Exchange Traded Fund schemes, equity futures  and will reduce overall cost.
  • Will have an adverse impact on the trade of commodity.
Realty
  • TDS of 1% on property deals above Rs 50 lakh.
  • Additional tax deduction limit by Rs 1 lakh for the first time home buyers up to Rs 25 lakh during the period April 1, 2013 to March 31, 2014.
  • Excise duty on marble slabs increased.
  • May curb black money generation in property deals but will adversely impact the demand.
  • Likely to promote home ownership and give a fillip to low cost housing and a number of industries including steel, cement, brick, wood, and glass etc.
Infra
  • Proposal to set up Road Regulatory Authority.
  • Infrastructure Debt Funds will be encouraged.
  • To build roads in North Eastern states and connect them to Myanmar with assistance from WB & ADB.
  • Road construction companies to gain
  •  Will help boost the economy
Shipping
  • To add 2 new ports in WB, AP; to add 100 mn tonne capacity.
  • No duty on import of ships, vessels. Proposal for full exemption  of counter vailing duty (CVD) on imported ships and vessels.
  • Full  CVD exemption on imported ships will help the industry  because most Indian shipping companies purchase their vessels manufactured outside the country.
Electric and Electronics
  • Electronics chip maker plants to get incentives, zero customs duty for electronic chips.
  • Higher customs duty on set top boxes.
  • Zero custom duty a negative news for semiconductor industry.
  • Will  boost manufacturing of high tech electronic products in India.
FMCG
  • Excise duty raised by 18% for cigarettes. Similar increase on cigars, cheroots and cigarillos.
  • Reduced Countervailing duty on dehulled Oat grains.
  • Mixed for the industry, increase in excise duty will impact all cigarette companies.
IT
  • Allocation of Rs 532 crore for IT Modernisation project of Post offices which are gearing up to offfer core banking sevices.
  • An added opportunity for the IT industry at home.
Gems & Jewellary
  • Imposition of 4% excise duty on silver manufactured from smelting zinc or lead.
  • Baggage rules for bringing the duty-free jewellery limit increased to Rs 50,000 in the case of a male passenger and Rs 100,000 in the case of a female passenger.
  • Reduction in import duty on pre-forms of precious and semi-precious stones from 10% to 2%.
  • Will bring the rate on par with the excise duty applicable to silver obtained from copper ores and concentrates.
  • Positive for industry, will help the diamond and coloured gemstone industry and will give boost to the exports of precious and semi-precious stones from India.
Oil & Gas
  • Proposal to move to revenue-sharing from profit-sharing policy in oil and gas sector.
  • A policy to encourage exploration and production of shale gas will be announced. Natural gas pricing policy will be reviewed and stalled NELP blocks will be cleared.
  • Negatively impact the industry and increase in risk profile for exploration and production companies.
Fertilizer  Sector
  • No any direct announcements.
  • Rs. 200 crore pilot scheme announced for introducing micro-nutrients new crop varieties.
  • Credit Guarantee Fund for Small Farmers' Agri Business Corporation with an initial corpus of Rs 100 crore.
  • Positive for the industry as it will increase the demand of the ferlizers.
Telecom -Equipment
  • Hike in the duty on mobile phones costing more than Rs 2000 from 1% to 6%.
  • Move is likely to marginally impact the smart phone demand.
Cement
  • No any direct announcements for the sector
  • A person taking a loan for his first home from a bank or a housing finance corporation upto Rs 25,00,000 during the period 1.4.2013 to 31.3.2014 will be entitled to an additional deduction of interest of upto Rs 100,000.
  • 3000 kms of road projects in Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Rajasthan and Uttar Pradesh will be awarded in the first six months of 2013-14.
  • Demand for Cement will increase.
Education
  • Education remained the highest priority in FY13-14 budget as FM proposed to allocate Rs 65,867 crore to the Ministry of Human Resource Development, which is an increase of 17 percent over the RE of the previous year. 
  • Proposal to provide Rs 27,258 crore for Sarva Shiksha Abhiyan in 2013-14. 
  • A grant of Rs 100 crore each to Aligarh Muslim University, Banaras Hindu University, Tata Institute of Social Sciences and Indian National Trust for Art and Cultural Heritage.
  • With the help of higher allocation of fund educational  infrastructure can improve.
Healthcare
  • Proposal to allocate Rs 37,330 crore to the Ministry of Health and Family Welfare .  Of this, the new National Health Mission that combines the rural mission and the proposed urban mission will get Rs 21,239 crore, an increase of 24.3 percent over the RE. 
  • Proposal to provide Rs  4,727 crore for medical education, training and research. 
  • Proposal to allocate Rs 1,069 crore to the Department of AYUSH.
  • Increasing expenditure on healthcare and healthcare infrastructure will boost the industry and help in its growth.
Media and Entertainment
  • Proposal to expand private FM radio services to 294 more cities.  About 839 new FM radio channels will be auctioned in 2013-14 and, after the auction, all cities having a population of more than 100,000 will be covered by private FM radio services.
  • Import duty on Set Top Boxes increased from 5 to 10 percent.
  • Exemption of Service Tax on copyright on cinematography limited to films exhibited in cinema halls.
  • This is positive for media companies as expansion of FM radio services in smaller areas provide huge opportunities.
  • This will encourage domestic production.
Textile
  • Technology Upgradation Fund Scheme (TUFS) to continue in the 12th Plan with an investment target of Rs 1,51,000 crore.
  • To set up textile parks under the Scheme for Integrated Textile Parks (SITP).
  • Working capital and term loans at a concessional interest of 6 per cent to handloom
  • sector.
  • Excise Duty on ready-made garments exempted.
  • Mostly positive for the sector.
  • With TUFS extension more focus will be on modernisation of the powerloom sector.
Auto
  • Increase of duty on imported luxury goods such as high end motor vehicles, motorcycles, yachts and similar vessels from 75% to 100%.
  • Increase in the excise duty on SUVs from 27% to 30%. However, the increase will not apply to SUVs registered as taxis.
  • Extension of concession period now available for specified parts of electric and hybrid vehicles up to 31.3.2015.
  • Increase to Rs 14,873 crore in 2013-14 from Rs.7,383 crore in the current year proposed in the allocation for the JNNURM programme.
  • Negative for the car makers as           SUV manufacturers will be impacted. This will also increase the unqualitative competition in SUV's and other vehicles.   
  • This will encourage manufacturing and selling of environment-friendly vehicles. 
  • Bus manufacturers to benefit as the fund will be used to support the purchase of up to 10,000 buses, specially by the hill states.
Agriculture
  • To allocate Rs 80194 crore for rural development in 2013-14.
  • Plan to allocate Rs 27,049 crore  for agriculture in 2013-14.
  • Hike in budgetary allocation to boost agriculture and allied industries.

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